Round 21 of the Toyota 2019 AFL Premiership competition found us picking six fixtures correctly and three coming up losers.
We have had better weeks and we have had worse, but we have learned, for future reference, to avoid backing GWS when snow is in the forecast.
The Giants lost 85 – 29 to Hawthorn. Entering the game, they were 19.5-point favourites, so GWS’s total output for the game barely exceeded the amount by which they were favoured.
We publicly admit that we did not see this one coming, even if we were aware of the adage that you can always see it coming, but you can never stop it.
Western Bulldogs 137, Essendon Bombers 33. Losing by 104 in an AFL round where just three clubs scored above 100. That should be worth something and in our cases, it was worth waving goodbye to our imaginary $100 punt. Someone might come along, see all the egg on our faces, and build an omelet.
Our final miss was St. Kilda beating Fremantle, but we acknowledged the risk by taking the underdog Dockers, so our egos were not badly hurt with this one.
So, we had six right and three wrong. The issue was that none of the winners was worth much. We captured $740. With the return of $600 staked and without factoring bookie fees, we grossed $1340 for the round.
With two games remaining in the home-and-away fixture, here is a quick glimpse at our predictions for Round 22.
We will take the Demons over the Swans at MCG for $180.
Brisbane are hosting Geelong it what appears to be a finals preview. An interesting proposition, this. Home ground finds Brisbane favoured by 3.5, so we will take Geelong for the upset and a potential $205.
Adelaide are hosting Collingwood as 4.5-point favourites and the Crows are fighting for survival, so we will back them for $175.
We will pick Port to beat North Melbourne for $175. Like the other team from South Australia, a win means something.
Essendon needs the win, while Fremantle are done, so we will take the Bombers to win in Perth to atone for last week’s embarrassment and hope to capture $148 for the show of faith.
Richmond are heavy favourites, so we will take the Tigers over the Eagles for $150.
GWS should be able to handle Western Bulldogs in Sydney, provided it does not snow, so Giants for $162.
The final game is Hawthorn hosting Gold Coast. Thanks in advance to Ladbrokes for the figures and the $105 for backing the Hawks.